NYC COVID-19 Cases Per Square Mile 2.7x Higher Than Wuhan, Manhattan 4.1x Higher

With an estimated 66.1 infections per square mile, New York City’s infection rate is now roughly 2.7 times higher than Wuhan; Manhattan, the city’s most densely populated borough, now has a rate of approximately 101 people per square mile, 4.1 times higher than Wuhan. Wuhan’s infection rate is approximately 24.6 cases per square mile in the Chinese province.

New York City’s infection rate per square mile has multiplied drastically over the past few weeks, passing Wuhan, ground zero for the outbreak. As of Monday morning, the number of confirmed coronavirus cases in New York had surpassed 20,000. New York City’s cases went from 3,260 to 12,305 overnight, confirmed by New York Governor Andrew Cuomo. 

Since the first reports of coronavirus person-to-person human transmission, the epicenter of the virus has moved from its initial outbreak in Wuhan, a Chinese province, to New York which represents 5 percent of cases worldwide. According to Live Science, New York City has passed 11,000 cases. As New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio put it in a tweet on March 22, the city represents approximately one-third of the state’s total cases.

As of Monday, March 23, Manhattan had 2324 confirmed cases.

According to the World Health Organization, the global death rate of COVID-19 is estimated to be 3.4 percent. The WHO further estimated that Wuhan’s death rate was around 1.4 percent at the height of the outbreak in China. 

A disease’s death rate is defined as the percentage of deaths within the population of confirmed infections. This differs from a disease’s mortality rate, which is defined as the average likelihood for a disease to lead to fatality. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, has estimated the coronavirus’ mortality rate to be around 1 percent.

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